...vital information to protect you and your loved ones from an impending bird flu pandemic.


 
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Bird Flu Facts



What you need to know now to protect your family from a bird flu pandemic


     How dangerous is the bird flu?


Experts are divided. Some are predicting a world wide pandemic that could take as many as a billion lives.

Others say the whole thing is blown out of proportion, citing the fact that it's a disease that kills birds, not people.


So far there have been less than 300 people killed by the H5N1 virus. You stand a greater chance of being killed by lightning. In this respect, the naysayers are correct.

But the flu virus never stands still. It is constantly changing. It has the potential to commingle its genetic material with that of a human influenza virus and, in so doing, acquire the ability to be transmitted from person to person.

If and when this happens, nobody will have resistance to it and a pandemic is inevitable.

The big question is, will this happen with H5N1?

  • Is the risk big enough that you should be concerned?

  • Should you start stockpiling food and water and face masks and other necessities on the basis of a threat that may never come to pass?

    Frankly, after examining the facts and ignoring the hype, we've come to an uncertain conclusion.

    We're convinced that a pandemic is inevitable, but we just don't know when. We're hopeful that medical science will find a way to protect us by the time it arrives, but we're not willing to bet our lives on it. Therefore we have taken all reasonable steps to protect ourselves and our loved ones if a pandemic does hit.

    Our purpose with this website is to provide you with the kind of information you need in order to make a balanced, reasonable approach to the issue and to help you to also take the steps you'll need to give yourselves the protection and peace of mind that will allow you to carry on with your everyday activities without undue concern for what might or might not happen.

    If you sign up for our free newsletter we'll keep you informed on a regular basis on the latest developments. If you'd like to be pro-active and help inform others we have a brochure that you can pass along. If your employer doesn't yet have a business continuity plan in place, we have one that you can download at no charge.



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  • What kind of foods to stockpile. Where to find them;
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                    Oprah discusses Bird Flu with Dr. Michael Osterholm
    Click HERE to read more

    Outbreak of lethal bird flu confirmed in Britain

    Nov 13, 2007

    Veterinary authorities confirmed on Tuesday an outbreak of the potentially lethal Asian strain of bird flu in eastern England, in a new blow to the British farming industry.

    More than 6,000 poultry were ordered to be slaughtered at the site near Diss in Norfolk, where an exclusion zone was imposed on Monday after a suspected outbreak was found.

    "I can now confirm that the strain of avian influenza found in the infected premises is the highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 strain," said deputy chief veterinary officer Fred Landeg.

    "It is of the Asian lineage. It is closely related to strains of the highly pathogenic avian influenza found this summer in the Czech Republic and in Germany," he added.

    On Monday, British officials ordered the slaughter of some thousands of poultry at the farm, which houses turkeys, ducks and geese, near Diss in Suffolk, eastern England.

    The cull involves some 5,000 turkeys, more than 1,000 ducks and 500 geese.

    They also announced a three-kilometre (1.8-mile) radius protection zone and a 10-kilometre surveillance zone were imposed around the farm in the county of Suffolk, where there was an outbreak of H5N1 in February.

    Authorities have also announced further restrictions in a wider area as a "precautionary measure."

    Landeg said the operation to contain the latest outbreak would be tough. "This will not be a quick exercise. This is a particularly challenging site," he said.

    Probes into the source of the virus are focusing on wild bird transmission, he said, but stressed they were keeping an "open mind" about the exact source.

    The new bird flu cases are the latest blow to hit the British farming industry, after an outbreak of foot and mouth disease over the summer centred on a government laboratory in Surrey, south of London.

    In the February outbreak some 159,000 turkeys were killed as a precaution at a plant near Holton in Suffolk after an outbreak, which led some countries to impose import bans on British poultry.

    An official report into the outbreak at the Bernard Matthews poultry plant later said it was most likely the H5N1 infection reached the flock via imported turkey meat from Hungary.

    The H5N1 strain first emerged in Asia in 2003, and has caused some 205 deaths in humans, with Indonesia and Vietnam among the worst hit countries, according to World Health Organization figures.

    Scientists fear that H5N1 will eventually mutate into a form that is much more easily transmissible between humans, triggering a global pandemic.

    The original source is thought to have been wild migratory birds.

    H5N1 has mainly affected Asia and some parts of Africa, but the Food and Agricultural Organisation warned last month that the virus could be transmitted to poultry in Europe by ducks and domestic geese seemingly in good health.

    Besides Indonesia, deaths have been recorded in Azerbaijan, Cambodia, China, Egypt, Iraq, Laos, Nigeria, Thailand, Turkey and Vietnam.


    Another Indonesian dies of bird flu

    06/09/2007 -- 8:25 PM

    Jakarta (VNA) - An Indonesian man who had contracted bird flu after preparing an infected chicken has died, lifting the total bird flu fatality in the country to 85 out of 106 infected cases, a Health Ministry official said.

    The ministry earlier said he was recovering, but his condition deteriorated unexpectedly and he died on September 6, said Arman Zubair, an official at the Health Ministry's monitoring post for bird flu.

    The 33-year-old plantation worker from central Sumatra island had been hospitalised for almost 10 days with high fever, coughing and breathing difficulties. Two tests earlier confirmed he had contracted the virulent H5N1 strain of the virus.

    Meanwhile, two children and an adult on the island of Bali were being treated as suspected carriers of the virus at Sanglah general hospital in the capital Denpasar, according to Putu Andrika, an official from the hospital bird flu team.

    Tests were being conducted to find out whether they were infected with the deadly virus. The famous tourist island of Bali has reported two bird flu deaths last month, triggering fears of an impact on the tourism industry.- Enditem




    Study confirms human-human spread of bird flu

    Updated Wed. Aug. 29 2007 10:43 AM ET

    CTV.ca News Staff

    A new analysis has confirmed that bird flu spread from person to person in Indonesia in April, U.S. researchers report in what appears to be a disturbing development for the infectious disease.

    Health officials around the world have been closely monitoring the H5N1 strain of avian influenza spreading among birds from Asia to Africa to Europe.

    So far, the strain rarely infects humans. But infectious disease experts are worried if it evolves so that it can spread easily from person to person, it may be the source of the next influenza pandemic, for which the globe is thought to be well overdue.

    Since 2003, H5N1 has infected 322 people and killed 195. Most have been infected directly by birds. But a few clusters of cases have been noted for which no other explanation can be found except person-to-person transmission.

    Biostatistician Ira Longini and colleagues at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle looked at two such recent clusters -- one in which eight family members died in Sumatra in 2006, and another in Turkey, in which eight people were infected and four died.

    Experts were almost certain the Sumatra cases were human-to-human transmission, but were eager to see more proof. Longini's team claims they have found that proof, reporting in the journal Emerging Infectious Diseases.

    Using a computerized disease-transmission model that took into account the number of infected cases, the number of people potentially exposed, the viral-incubation period and other parameters, the researchers produced the first statistical confirmation of humans contracting the disease from each other.

    How the cluster likely spread

    The cluster likely began with a 37-year-old woman, who had been exposed to dead poultry and chicken feces, the presumed source of infection. She then probably passed the virus to her 10-year-old nephew who then passed it to his father.

    The possibility that the boy infected his father was supported by genetic sequencing data. Other person-to-person transmissions in the cluster were backed up with statistical data.

    All but one of the flu victims died.

    Local health authorities eventually placed more than 50 relatives and close contacts under voluntary quarantine and the infections stopped. But Longini's team does not believe the quarantine did the trick; they believe the virus simply burned out.

    "It went two generations and then just stopped, but it could have gotten out of control," Longini said in a statement.

    "The world really may have dodged a bullet with that one, and the next time, we might not be so lucky."

    The researchers now estimate the secondary-attack rate, which is the risk that one person will infect another, is at about 29 per cent. This is similar to what is seen for regular, seasonal influenza A in the United States.

    As for the cluster in Turkey, Longini's team could not find statistical evidence of human-to-human transmission.

    "There probably was person-to-person spread there as well but we couldn't get all the information we needed for the analysis," biostatistician Yang Yang said.

    Longini's team also says they have developed a tool to run quick tests on disease outbreaks to see if dangerous epidemics or pandemics may be developing. The software product, called TranStat, would be available free of charge on the National Institutes of Health's Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study, or MIDAS, website.